Auerbach vs VFC Plauen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AUE
2 - 1
UNI
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
AUE
0 - 1
ENE
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BAK
2 - 0
AUE
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
MEU
5 - 2
AUE
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AUE
1 - 1
CZJ
19%
24%
57%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
VFC Plauen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 3
CZJ
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 2
GER
44%
24%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ZWI
3 - 1
PLA
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PLA
2 - 0
ENE
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RBL
2 - 2
PLA
84%
12%
4%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | +1 |