Auerbach vs Luckenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
64.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
AUE
2 - 3
BAB
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
AUE
0 - 1
LOK
14%
20%
66%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CHL
1 - 1
AUE
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
AUE
3 - 2
HER
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +3 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
TAS
3 - 1
AUE
77%
13%
10%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LUC
0 - 0
CZJ
29%
23%
49%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
LUC
1 - 1
CHE
27%
23%
50%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OPT
0 - 1
LUC
15%
18%
67%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LUC
1 - 1
BFC
31%
23%
46%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
CHL
1 - 2
LUC
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |