Audax Rio vs Grêmio Mangaratibense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Audax Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
OLA
1 - 0
AUD
32%
27%
41%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
AUD
2 - 1
SAO
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 3
AUD
15%
22%
63%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
AUD
2 - 3
QUE
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
DUQ
0 - 1
AUD
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Mangaratibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 2
PET
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRE
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 4
GOY
22%
25%
53%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CER
3 - 1
GRE
66%
21%
13%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAM
28%
25%
48%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |