FK Auda vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
8º
4º
36
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 78 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 73 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 71 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 56 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 47 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 41 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 41 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 37 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 32 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 26 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 17.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
7.5% | 79.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 1
AUD
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUD
54%
24%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
RIG
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 2
NSO
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 0
AUD
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GDA
5 - 1
VAL
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 1
VAL
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 2
VAL
16%
22%
62%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
BFC
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |