FK Auda vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
4º
8º
4º
42
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
AUD
22%
28%
51%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
AUD
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 1
VAL
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 1
AUD
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUD
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
BFC
68%
20%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 1
RIG
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 1
BFC
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 1
FKT
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 0
GRO
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |