FK Auda vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
4º
8º
4º
42
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
AUD
22%
28%
50%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
AUD
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 1
VAL
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 1
AUD
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUD
54%
24%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
BFC
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 1
RIG
18%
23%
60%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 1
BFC
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 1
FKT
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 0
GRO
28%
24%
49%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |