Premiership Playoff Título. Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Auckland City vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAN
1 - 2
AUC
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 4
AUC
13%
21%
66%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AUC
7 - 1
WAI
87%
10%
4%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TEA
2 - 3
AUC
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
AUC
3 - 2
TEA
63%
19%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAN
1 - 2
AUC
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
WAI
2 - 3
CAN
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CAN
4 - 1
MAN
82%
13%
6%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
HAW
1 - 1
CAN
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CAN
4 - 0
WAI
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |