Aucas vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DEL
1 - 1
AUC
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
AUC
1 - 2
IVT
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
NAC
0 - 1
AUC
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 1
AUC
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
UCE
0 - 0
AUC
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
UCE
3 - 1
CEL
54%
25%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
UCE
1 - 0
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
VIT
1 - 1
UCE
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CUN
3 - 2
UCE
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
UCE
3 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |