Aucas vs Orense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 4
AUC
25%
26%
50%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 1
BSC
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 1
AUC
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
AUC
1 - 0
CFC
69%
20%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TEC
0 - 1
AUC
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Orense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 1
ORE
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 1
RIV
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
CUE
1 - 1
ORE
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ORE
2 - 0
EME
25%
26%
50%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
DEL
2 - 1
ORE
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |