Aucas vs Gualaceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MUS
2 - 2
AUC
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
AUC
4 - 0
LDU
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SSR
1 - 1
AUC
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AUC
1 - 1
SSR
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LDU
0 - 0
AUC
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
TEC
29%
27%
45%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MAN
3 - 0
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
OLM
53%
25%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
OLM
0 - 1
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAN
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |