Aucas vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
EME
2 - 1
AUC
40%
30%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
QUI
1 - 0
AUC
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
AUC
4 - 0
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
BSC
2 - 0
AUC
41%
30%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
AUC
1 - 2
LDU
47%
29%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
TEC
2 - 0
QUI
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
MAN
2 - 1
TEC
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
TEC
2 - 6
BSC
40%
30%
30%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
LDU
2 - 2
TEC
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
TEC
0 - 1
NAC
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |