Aucas vs Colón FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
OLM
0 - 1
AUC
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 3
TEC
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
AUC
1 - 0
LOJ
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
AME
1 - 2
AUC
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 0
AME
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Colón FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
COL
0 - 0
AME
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LOJ
2 - 2
COL
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
COL
0 - 3
SSR
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
COL
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
COL
1 - 0
GUA
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |