Royal Aubel vs UCE Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
15º
7º
34
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
45% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
14º
|
45% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Royal Aubel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
OUG
2 - 3
RAU
24%
24%
52%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
RAU
4 - 1
WAN
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
HAN
2 - 0
RAU
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RAU
0 - 1
EUP
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 1
RAU
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UCE Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LIE
0 - 0
HOM
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
LIE
0 - 0
HAN
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
EDF
0 - 0
LIE
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LIE
2 - 1
SFR
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 2
LIE
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |