Aubel vs Ougrée analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
RAU
2 - 1
MEL
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RAU
2 - 1
WEY
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LAC
1 - 1
RAU
67%
17%
15%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
RAU
2 - 2
STA
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
DUG
2 - 1
RAU
52%
21%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ougrée
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SFR
1 - 4
OUG
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
OUG
0 - 1
STA
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
DUG
2 - 1
OUG
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
OUG
1 - 1
WAN
12%
15%
74%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
JSF
3 - 2
OUG
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |