Aubagne vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
12º
1º
36
1º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OLY
3 - 1
AUB
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AUB
0 - 0
JUR
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AND
3 - 1
AUB
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 1
AUB
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CSL
1 - 1
AUB
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
GRA
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 2
FRE
21%
27%
53%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FRE
3 - 1
TOU
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 3
FRE
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 0
SAI
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |