ATSV 1871 Kelheim vs Fortuna Regensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
78.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ATSV 1871 Kelheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
ATK
1 - 4
SVO
11%
18%
71%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SVH
4 - 2
ATK
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ATK
1 - 3
BAD
8%
14%
78%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ASV
6 - 0
ATK
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
ATK
0 - 2
TVS
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
FCS
2 - 0
REG
27%
22%
52%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
REG
2 - 3
SVO
78%
14%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FCT
2 - 2
REG
14%
18%
69%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
SCE
1 - 1
REG
17%
19%
64%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
REG
4 - 0
SVH
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |