Atmosfera vs Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
15º
7º
33
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 75 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 65 |
2º
|
66% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 63 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 59 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 54 |
5º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 50 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 42 |
7º
|
53% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 32 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 31 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 22 |
16º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atmosfera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
MIN
0 - 1
ATM
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
ATM
4 - 1
SIA
57%
21%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 2
ATM
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
ATM
2 - 2
FHL
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 3
ATM
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 2
NEV
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
FKT
1 - 1
ZAL
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
ZAL
3 - 3
NEP
19%
21%
60%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
BAB
2 - 1
ZAL
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 0
BEN
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |