At. Venezuela vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ANZ
0 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 0
TUC
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ZUL
1 - 0
ATL
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
TAC
30%
26%
43%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
MET
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
MIR
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
ZAM
4 - 2
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
LAR
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ANZ
4 - 2
CAR
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
TUC
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |