Copa Sudamericana 1/16

Global 1-2

Atl. Tucumán vs Independiente analysis

Atl. Tucumán Independiente
79 ELO 80
-6.2% Tilt -4.4%
264º General ELO ranking 269º
24º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
45.4%
Atl. Tucumán
27%
Draw
27.6%
Independiente

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
Atl. Tucumán
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.6%
Win probability
Independiente
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Atl. Tucumán
Independiente
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atl. Tucumán
Atl. Tucumán
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2020
RAC
Racing Club
1 - 4
Atl. Tucumán
ATT
63%
22%
16%
78 85 7 0
30 Oct. 2020
IND
Independiente
1 - 0
Atl. Tucumán
ATT
47%
26%
27%
79 80 1 -1
08 Mar. 2020
ATT
Atl. Tucumán
1 - 1
River Plate
RIV
25%
24%
51%
79 86 7 0
29 Feb. 2020
GLP
Gimnasia La Plata
1 - 0
Atl. Tucumán
ATT
37%
28%
35%
80 76 4 -1
26 Feb. 2020
ATT
Atl. Tucumán
1 - 0
Independiente Medellín
IND
39%
26%
35%
79 80 1 +1

Matches

Independiente
Independiente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2020
CCS
Central Córdoba
0 - 1
Independiente
IND
30%
26%
44%
80 69 11 0
30 Oct. 2020
IND
Independiente
1 - 0
Atl. Tucumán
ATT
47%
26%
27%
80 79 1 0
14 Mar. 2020
IND
Independiente
1 - 0
Vélez Sarsfield
VEL
41%
27%
32%
79 82 3 +1
08 Mar. 2020
IND
Independiente
3 - 0
Central Córdoba
CCS
58%
24%
19%
79 70 9 0
03 Mar. 2020
HUR
CA Huracán
1 - 0
Independiente
IND
31%
28%
41%
80 74 6 -1