Atl. Tucumán vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CEN
3 - 1
ATT
56%
26%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ATT
1 - 1
GLP
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 1
ATT
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ATT
1 - 1
GIM
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DYJ
2 - 5
ATT
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
OLI
30%
30%
40%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
5 - 1
MER
42%
30%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MER
0 - 2
BAN
34%
30%
36%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HUR
1 - 0
MER
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
BUC
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |