Atlético Sorocaba vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
ATL
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ITU
0 - 0
ATL
41%
24%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
SAO
30%
24%
46%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
ATL
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAO
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
BOT
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
OES
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 1
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAT
2 - 4
BOT
48%
23%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |