Copa Federacion . Last 16
Global 3-9
At. Saguntino vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SAG
2 - 1
ELC
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 1
SAG
60%
21%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 3
NUC
25%
26%
49%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
SAG
2 - 0
ELD
45%
27%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CAT
3 - 2
SAG
27%
27%
46%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
NOJ
1 - 1
ZAR
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ZAR
1 - 2
TER
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
RUN
4 - 0
ZAR
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ALA
20%
26%
54%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
NAX
0 - 1
ZAR
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |