Atlético Reguengos vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Reguengos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 2
ATL
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 1
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 1
ATL
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
LOU
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
COV
0 - 0
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 1
PIN
45%
23%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 6
MOU
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FCB
2 - 0
LUS
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 2
LUS
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LUS
4 - 1
FCC
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |