Primera Nacional Jor. 20

Atletico Rafaela vs Nueva Chicago analysis

Atletico Rafaela Nueva Chicago
73 ELO 76
1.7% Tilt -7.5%
1224º General ELO ranking 1085º
57º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
41.3%
Atletico Rafaela
26.1%
Draw
32.6%
Nueva Chicago

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
Atletico Rafaela
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.6%
Win probability
Nueva Chicago
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atletico Rafaela
-21%
+11%
Nueva Chicago

ELO progression

Atletico Rafaela
Nueva Chicago
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atletico Rafaela
Atletico Rafaela
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2007
RAF
Atletico Rafaela
1 - 0
San Martín Tucumán
SMA
50%
26%
24%
73 73 0 0
01 Dec. 2007
QUI
Quilmes
1 - 0
Atletico Rafaela
RAF
51%
26%
24%
73 75 2 0
28 Nov. 2007
RAF
Atletico Rafaela
2 - 2
Ben Hur
BHU
72%
19%
9%
73 58 15 0
24 Nov. 2007
IRV
Indep. Rivadavia
0 - 0
Atletico Rafaela
RAF
35%
28%
37%
73 65 8 0
20 Nov. 2007
RAF
Atletico Rafaela
2 - 1
Talleres Córdoba
TAL
65%
22%
13%
73 61 12 0

Matches

Nueva Chicago
Nueva Chicago
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Dec. 2007
GOD
Godoy Cruz
0 - 2
Nueva Chicago
CHI
51%
24%
25%
76 77 1 0
06 Dec. 2007
IRV
Indep. Rivadavia
1 - 0
Nueva Chicago
CHI
27%
27%
46%
76 64 12 0
01 Dec. 2007
CHI
Nueva Chicago
1 - 3
Belgrano
BEL
50%
26%
24%
77 74 3 -1
27 Nov. 2007
CHA
Chacarita Juniors
6 - 2
Nueva Chicago
CHI
33%
28%
40%
78 70 8 -1
24 Nov. 2007
CHI
Nueva Chicago
2 - 0
Almirante Brown
ALM
57%
25%
19%
77 70 7 +1
X