Atletico Rafaela vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
RAF
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
RAF
2 - 2
STM
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 0
RAF
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 2
SMA
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
RAF
2 - 0
BRO
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 1
IRV
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 2
RSA
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 0
INS
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
GIM
1 - 0
RSA
41%
29%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SUA
2 - 1
RSA
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |