Atletico Rafaela vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
RAF
13%
19%
68%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
RAF
4 - 1
SAS
93%
6%
1%
|
70 | 18 | 52 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
BRO
0 - 0
RAF
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
RAF
2 - 0
DAL
58%
22%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 2
RAF
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 1
UAI
39%
29%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
UAI
0 - 0
DEF
42%
31%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 0
SUA
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
SUA
0 - 0
DEF
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 0
BAR
31%
29%
40%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -2 |