Copa Santa Fe Eliminatorias. 1/16
Global 2-1
Atletico Rafaela vs Colon de San Justo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ALD
0 - 1
RAF
52%
25%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
CSJ
1 - 0
RAF
9%
16%
76%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
RAF
47%
28%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
RAF
0 - 0
BRO
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 2
RAF
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Colon de San Justo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
CSJ
1 - 0
RAF
9%
16%
76%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 1
CSJ
10%
14%
76%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CSJ
2 - 1
LLA
75%
16%
10%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 2
CSJ
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CSJ
0 - 1
LIB
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |