Atlético Progreso vs Atlético Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
62.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
PRO
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
PRO
2 - 0
UNI
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +4 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
LAS
0 - 0
PRO
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 1
AMA
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
PRO
74%
16%
9%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
AGU
79%
15%
7%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
ATL
14%
23%
64%
|
62 | 24 | 38 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
4 - 0
LIB
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
ATL
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
LAS
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |