Copa Libertadores . Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Athletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 0
ATP
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 1
AMF
56%
25%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
ATP
0 - 1
FLA
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FLA
5 - 0
ATP
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
EST
0 - 1
ATP
35%
28%
37%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FLU
1 - 1
PAL
41%
26%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 1
FLA
43%
24%
33%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
COR
0 - 1
PAL
28%
27%
45%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
PAL
0 - 0
ATM
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
PAL
3 - 0
GOI
77%
15%
7%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |