Athletico Paranaense vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
VIT
3 - 2
ATP
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
PPE
3 - 4
ATP
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 2
FLA
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 2
CRZ
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 1
ATP
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAO
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 0
GRE
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
VIT
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |