Athletico Paranaense vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
GOY
0 - 1
ATP
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1979 |
ATP
0 - 0
SCI
26%
30%
44%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
DES
1 - 0
ATP
36%
30%
34%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1979 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAO
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
INT
0 - 0
ATP
23%
28%
49%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
CAL
1 - 0
ANA
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
CAL
1 - 0
DES
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
INT
1 - 1
CAL
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1979 |
CAL
1 - 1
SCI
17%
23%
59%
|
62 | 90 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1979 |
GOY
2 - 0
CAL
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |