Athletico Paranaense vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
VAS
0 - 1
ATP
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
ATP
2 - 3
GRE
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2017 |
ATP
0 - 2
PPE
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
ATP
0 - 0
BOT
41%
29%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
COR
2 - 2
ATP
71%
20%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 0
AVA
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 0
CRZ
21%
27%
53%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 0
COR
15%
24%
61%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 1
AVA
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 4
COT
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |