Atlético Paraná vs Caballu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.2%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 1
PAR
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ASM
1 - 4
PAR
7%
17%
76%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 1
BEL
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CDB
2 - 1
PAR
11%
20%
70%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 0
ASM
88%
10%
2%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Caballu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 1
PAR
11%
19%
70%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAC
1 - 2
ARV
50%
22%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
UAC
2 - 3
CAC
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
ARV
0 - 1
CAC
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
CAC
2 - 1
UAC
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |