Atlético Paraná vs Belgrano Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
HUR
1 - 0
PAR
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 1
COL
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ACH
2 - 1
PAR
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 0
CEN
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 17 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
SFE
1 - 0
PAR
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Belgrano Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BEL
3 - 1
CEN
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SFE
1 - 0
BEL
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CUR
1 - 2
BEL
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 0
VIA
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
TEX
0 - 0
BEL
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |