Atlético Ottawa vs York United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
5º
1º
10
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
18 | 47 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 46 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 46 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 43 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 39 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 37 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 28 |
7º
|
45.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 23 |
8º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
56% | 17% |
|
Play-offs
|
22% | 9.5% |
|
Next round
|
19.5% | 42% |
|
Eliminated
|
2.5% | 31.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 4
ATO
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ATO
2 - 2
HFX
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
ATO
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ATO
2 - 2
YOR
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ATO
0 - 0
VAN
72%
19%
10%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
YOR
1 - 2
HFX
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
0 - 2
YOR
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ATO
2 - 2
YOR
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
YOR
2 - 0
PAC
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HFX
2 - 1
YOR
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |