Atlético Ottawa vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
5º
2º
43
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 57 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 54 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 41 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 40 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 38 |
5º
|
42% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 30 |
6º
|
75% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 24 |
7º
|
69% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 19 |
8º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
97% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
3% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Eliminated
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
YOR
3 - 4
ATO
39%
24%
37%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
CAV
0 - 2
ATO
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
YOR
0 - 0
ATO
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2025 |
ATO
3 - 0
VAL
58%
22%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2025 |
ATO
2 - 1
YOR
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
MON
2 - 2
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FOR
2 - 1
VAN
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
FOR
2 - 2
YOR
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
VAL
0 - 5
FOR
32%
28%
41%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
VAN
0 - 2
FOR
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |