At. Nacional vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
EQU
2 - 0
NAC
38%
29%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 2
NAC
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 0
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
2DE
2 - 0
NAC
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
SPT
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
3 - 0
AUC
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
LQE
2 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |