Qualifying stages Copa Libertadores Segunda Fase. Final

Global 0-4

At. Nacional vs Nacional analysis

At. Nacional Nacional
79 ELO 78
6.2% Tilt -6.2%
351º General ELO ranking 463º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
56.9%
At. Nacional
22.9%
Draw
20.2%
Nacional

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
At. Nacional
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.2%
Win probability
Nacional
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
At. Nacional
-9%
-8%
Nacional

ELO progression

At. Nacional
Nacional
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

At. Nacional
At. Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2024
EQU
La Equidad
2 - 0
At. Nacional
NAC
38%
29%
34%
80 80 0 0
22 Feb. 2024
NAC
Nacional
1 - 0
At. Nacional
NAC
41%
26%
33%
80 78 2 0
17 Feb. 2024
CAL
Deportivo Cali
3 - 2
At. Nacional
NAC
36%
28%
37%
80 77 3 0
12 Feb. 2024
NAC
At. Nacional
0 - 1
Millonarios
MIL
51%
25%
24%
80 80 0 0
09 Feb. 2024
PAT
Patriotas Boyacá
0 - 0
At. Nacional
NAC
22%
27%
51%
80 70 10 0

Matches

Nacional
Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2024
2DE
2 de Mayo
2 - 0
Nacional
NAC
35%
28%
37%
78 72 6 0
22 Feb. 2024
NAC
Nacional
1 - 0
At. Nacional
NAC
41%
26%
33%
78 80 2 0
19 Feb. 2024
NAC
Nacional
2 - 1
Sportivo Trinidense
SPT
43%
26%
31%
78 78 0 0
16 Feb. 2024
NAC
Nacional
3 - 0
Aucas
AUC
38%
26%
36%
77 80 3 +1
12 Feb. 2024
LQE
Sportivo Luqueño
2 - 0
Nacional
NAC
48%
26%
26%
78 78 0 -1
X