At. Nacional vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1989 |
QUI
1 - 1
NAC
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
EME
1 - 1
NAC
65%
18%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1989 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
NAC
2 - 0
EST
68%
17%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1989 |
QUI
0 - 0
MIL
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
EME
0 - 2
MIL
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1989 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1988 |
MIL
6 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 1988 |
MIL
3 - 0
MWA
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |