At. Nacional vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 2
NAC
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 3
NAC
22%
28%
50%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
JUN
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 1
NAC
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
AGU
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 0
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 0
TOL
22%
27%
52%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 0
JAG
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 2
JAG
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
JAG
2 - 1
ALI
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |