At. Nacional vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
BOL
1 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
NAC
16%
28%
56%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
HUI
65%
22%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +4 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
ENV
2 - 2
NAC
30%
31%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 1
PAT
40%
29%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
SFE
0 - 0
AGU
54%
27%
19%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
AGU
1 - 3
TOL
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
LEO
1 - 1
AGU
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
AGU
2 - 1
EQU
40%
30%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |