Apertura Playoffs . Final
Global 2-2
At. Nacional vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 1
NAC
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
HUI
60%
24%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
HUI
0 - 0
NAC
38%
29%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
COL
51%
23%
25%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
CAL
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 1
NAC
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 0
IND
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
TOL
3 - 0
ONC
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
ONC
1 - 0
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |