Atl. Mineiro vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
ATP
0 - 4
ATM
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
ATM
0 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 3
ATM
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 1
GRE
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 2
ATM
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 0
NAU
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
NAU
1 - 1
FLU
38%
26%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ATP
2 - 3
NAU
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
NAU
2 - 0
CRZ
27%
25%
49%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GOI
3 - 3
NAU
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |