Série A Serie A round 9

Atl. Mineiro vs Joinville analysis

Atl. Mineiro Joinville
86 ELO 70
4.9% Tilt -7.6%
86º General ELO ranking 3514º
12º Country ELO ranking 107º
ELO win probability
75.7%
Atl. Mineiro
16.6%
Draw
7.7%
Joinville

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
Atl. Mineiro
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.7%
Win probability
Joinville
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Atl. Mineiro
Joinville
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atl. Mineiro
Atl. Mineiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jun. 2015
FLA
Flamengo
0 - 2
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
40%
26%
34%
86 81 5 0
11 Jun. 2015
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
2 - 2
Santos FC
SAN
54%
23%
22%
86 84 2 0
06 Jun. 2015
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
1 - 3
Cruzeiro
CRZ
51%
24%
25%
86 86 0 0
04 Jun. 2015
AVA
Avaí
1 - 4
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
19%
26%
55%
86 65 21 0
31 May. 2015
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
3 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
67%
20%
13%
86 79 7 0

Matches

Joinville
Joinville
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jun. 2015
JEC
Joinville
2 - 1
Goiás EC
GOI
32%
29%
39%
70 78 8 0
14 Jun. 2015
SPO
Sport Recife
2 - 1
Joinville
JEC
57%
25%
18%
70 75 5 0
07 Jun. 2015
JEC
Joinville
0 - 1
Corinthians
COR
26%
29%
44%
70 85 15 0
04 Jun. 2015
CHA
Chapecoense
2 - 0
Joinville
JEC
51%
27%
22%
71 76 5 -1
31 May. 2015
JEC
Joinville
1 - 2
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
35%
28%
37%
72 76 4 -1