Qualifying stages Copa Libertadores 2da Ronda. Final

Global 5-4

Atl. Mineiro vs Danubio analysis

Atl. Mineiro Danubio
83 ELO 72
5.5% Tilt -4.4%
64º General ELO ranking 392º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
70.5%
Atl. Mineiro
18.6%
Draw
10.9%
Danubio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
Atl. Mineiro
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.9%
Win probability
Danubio
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atl. Mineiro
+5%
+6%
Danubio

ELO progression

Atl. Mineiro
Danubio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atl. Mineiro
Atl. Mineiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2019
CAL
Caldense
0 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
6%
15%
79%
83 43 40 0
05 Feb. 2019
DAN
Danubio
2 - 2
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
29%
26%
45%
83 72 11 0
02 Feb. 2019
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
2 - 0
Guarani MG
GUA
89%
9%
2%
83 46 37 0
31 Jan. 2019
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
4 - 0
URT
URT
89%
10%
2%
83 45 38 0
27 Jan. 2019
CRZ
Cruzeiro
1 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
49%
26%
25%
83 85 2 0

Matches

Danubio
Danubio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2019
DAN
Danubio
2 - 2
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
29%
26%
45%
72 83 11 0
04 Nov. 2018
NAC
Nacional
1 - 0
Danubio
DAN
60%
23%
17%
72 80 8 0
28 Oct. 2018
DAN
Danubio
1 - 1
Fénix
FEN
60%
23%
17%
73 66 7 -1
21 Oct. 2018
JUN
Rampla Juniors
0 - 0
Danubio
DAN
31%
28%
41%
73 66 7 0
14 Oct. 2018
DAN
Danubio
3 - 1
Montevideo City Torque
TOR
57%
24%
20%
72 66 6 +1
X