Atl. Mineiro vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
17.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.4%
2-0
18.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
19%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
9.1%
1.9%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 0
ATM
5%
16%
79%
|
81 | 43 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
URT
0 - 1
ATM
6%
17%
77%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
CAU
3 - 0
ATM
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ATM
1 - 1
TOM
84%
12%
4%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
COI
0 - 0
ATM
7%
17%
76%
|
82 | 44 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
BOA
22%
27%
51%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIL
48%
27%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
URT
1 - 0
CAL
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
UBE
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
AMF
2 - 2
CAL
82%
14%
4%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | +1 |