Mancha Real vs Poli Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 0
CDT
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
HUE
0 - 1
MAN
42%
26%
33%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
RJA
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 2
ALM
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 2
MAN
22%
27%
52%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
LOJ
0 - 1
POL
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
POL
0 - 0
CDT
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
HUE
1 - 0
POL
65%
20%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
POL
3 - 2
HUE
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
POL
2 - 0
RJA
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +3 |