Mancha Real vs Los Villares CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 2
MAN
81%
13%
5%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
ALH
43%
26%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ATA
1 - 2
MAN
51%
25%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 3
LOJ
21%
26%
53%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CDR
4 - 1
MAN
28%
28%
45%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Los Villares CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 3
MAL
28%
26%
46%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ALQ
1 - 2
VIL
30%
25%
46%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
4 - 4
VEL
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAR
65%
21%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
VIL
75%
17%
9%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |