Mancha Real vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
56%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ELD
0 - 1
MAN
59%
25%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 1
INT
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +3 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 3
NUC
19%
25%
56%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CDE
0 - 1
MAN
71%
20%
10%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 1
LEV
23%
27%
50%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
HER
2 - 1
AGU
73%
19%
8%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 2
HER
35%
29%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
HER
3 - 0
MUR
40%
29%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CSP
2 - 1
HER
20%
25%
55%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ELD
2 - 2
HER
20%
27%
53%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |