Mancha Real vs Guadix CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
LOJ
2 - 1
MAN
58%
23%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
MAN
1 - 0
UBE
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAN
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
MAN
1 - 1
G74
25%
26%
50%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAN
64%
22%
14%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
GUA
1 - 0
VAN
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
UDS
1 - 0
GUA
15%
24%
62%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
GUA
2 - 0
VEL
71%
19%
11%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ALH
1 - 0
GUA
18%
25%
57%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
MAL
3 - 0
GUA
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |