Mancha Real vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 2
MAN
41%
27%
33%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 1
MAN
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
MAR
40%
26%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAL
3 - 0
MAN
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ARE
0 - 1
VEL
59%
23%
18%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
UDS
4 - 0
ARE
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
ARE
73%
17%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ARE
3 - 1
NIJ
17%
26%
57%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +4 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
EST
4 - 0
ARE
86%
11%
4%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |