At. Malagueño vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
NIJ
3 - 0
MAL
36%
28%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 0
EST
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 1
MAL
14%
23%
64%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
NER
0 - 0
MAL
20%
24%
55%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAL
1 - 0
ARE
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
HUE
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ANT
0 - 1
MAR
23%
25%
51%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 0
MOT
55%
24%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALH
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 3
MAR
14%
22%
64%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |